Forecasting Eastern Mediterranean Droughts
Publication information:
Eshel, Cane, & Farrell. (2000). Forecasting Eastern Mediterranean Droughts. In Mon. Wea. Rev. (Vols. 128, pp. 3618-3630).
Abstract
A dynamically motivated statistical forecasting scheme for eastern Mediterranean winter rainfall is presented. The scheme is based on North Atlantic sea level pressure precursors. The resulting forecasts are robust and statistically significant at ;13 months lead time, and improve at ;7 months lead. It is suggested that these forecasts form a foundation for an operational early-warning system for eastern Mediterranean droughts.